Gustav, FEMA, the Lessons from Katrina and Recovery
Some writing on Gustav that inserts another perspective on the ordeal.
A few days ago, Paul Krugman, in typically rabid partisan form had another NYT Op-Ed on Gustav and FEMA.
The standard fare: the wonders of government bureaucracy cannot work without proper leadership (Dems who care) and the GOP simply produced a self-fulfilled prophecy with the Katrina debacle....nothing more. IOW, good and effective government needs people who believe in it and it will work great.
My take is that "Bush's FEMA" could have done a slightly better job...but only on the margins; nothing spectacularly different. Much of the avoidable problem lay with the counter-productive mauling of FEMA and federal micro-management. Sure, they could have been little quicker here, a bit more pro-active there and thrown in some more helpful rhetoric. But the horror of Katrina would have been there anyway and little would have been different looking back a few years later. Sometimes, sad as it sounds, the abstract and fanciful idea of government agency working as planned and up to its best theoretical potential is the simply the precursor to disappointment and finger-pointing and convenient "I-told-ya-so" posturing from factions hell bent on believing the pathway from imagination to reality is a clear path that only needs leadership.
Little attention is paid to the private successes operating below the public radar. Scant is the consideration of alternatives. Dismissive is the attitude toward the likely perversions on organization wrought by flawed commerce laws on private initiative and the very mandate of FEMA on other levels of government and a myriad of decentralized possibilities. Non-existent is the respect for FEMA systemic limitations, imperfections and unavoidable inadequacies.
In response to Krugman's column, economist Steve Horwitz wrote a letter to the NYT Editor :
FEMA’s failures resulted from two problems endemic to bureaucracies no matter the party in power: a lack of local knowledge and weaker incentives than the private sector to succeed. By contrast, Wal-Mart got supplies and people into the worst-hit areas because its associates and managers had detailed knowledge of their communities and the incentive to help their neighbors that will always be absent in bureaucracies. FEMA’s warehouses of unused resources contrasted with Wal-Mart’s trucks on the move suggest that indeed the failures of Katrina were ones of bureaucratic ignorance, not administration ideology.
Along these lines, The Mercatus Center at George Mason had more to say.
Despite the self-congratulating, politicizing, posturing taking place by public officials on the "success" of the Gustav preparation, the real lessons from Katrina were elsewhere: don't rely on public statements to make your plans.
Evacuation started early and voluntarily. Supplies and help were ready from Wal-Mart, CVS and other local private bodies liasing with non-profits like the Red Cross and the Salvation Army and entrepreneurs in the form of emergency water, medication and a myriad of other necessities and contingencies to serve their local customers...not to fill a government order. Public action was largely flat and anti-climactic.
But here's the heart of it:
Much of the delay we've seen in rebuilding after Katrina has been caused by shifting rules of the game in rebuilding, as governments on all levels proved unable to make clear, credible commitments about what would be done and when.
Both the Obama and the McCain campaigns will be tempted to announce their plans for rebuilding programs. If the candidates are serious about helping the Gulf Coast, they'll stay silent about particular plans, save the requisite cheerleading, and let the non-profit groups and entrepreneurs who have been doing the heavy lifting in the three years following Katrina get in with their jobs. For the last three years, officials on all levels of government have been raising expectations, only to renege on promises that were unlikely — or even impossible — to be fulfilled.
As the recovery effort gets underway, it's critical that officials do not try to dictate the patterns of recovery. For the last three years, the most effective solutions to rebuilding the communities devastated by Katrina have relied on local knowledge that entrepreneurs, non-profit groups, community organizations, and groups of everyday citizens possess — and that nobody in Washington does.
To be effective, post-disaster recovery must be led by the people who have a stake — financial, social, and personal — in the success of the rebuilding. After the immediate needs are met, FEMA and other government groups need to pull back and avoid the temptation to try to micro-manage the recovery. A key lesson of Katrina is that grassroots, bottom-up efforts at rebuilding work, while top-down plans fail.
Government plays a role in this by supporting the people who are getting the work done, not by dictating to them. This means making and following through on commitments to things like reopening schools, road cleaning and maintenance, respecting property rights, and allowing freedom of contract. In this environment, grassroots solutions can thrive, and the affected areas will rebound more quickly and sustainably.
And if government can't make good on a commitment, it needs to make that clear and pass it off to someone who can.
FEMA can have a role in giving a hand. But that is different from being in charge.
Reforms are definitely in order for levee construction and national flood insurance says the Mercatus article. But most importantly, let's hope the relative timidity of Gustav compared to Katrina doesn't get people believing FEMA did a heckuva job so that they can take the next hurricane more lightly. They need to learn the real lessons that made this recovery easier: initiative and cooperation.
- John's diary
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Comments :
I have four evacuees staying with me
Family members who fled New Orleans because of Gustav. During Katrina they were here for six weeks.
Things went smoothly for Gustav because the people of New Orleans were scared out of their minds by Katrina and got the hell out of Dodge. Prior to Katrina they were complacent and assumed they could ride out whatever came along.
Because of the Katrina debacle it is no longer difficult to persuade people to leave town. No one in his right mind wants to endure that again.
The damage caused by Katrina still reverberates throughout New Orleans. It's not just the neighborhoods still devastated. It's the suicide rate, the despair, the folks who just plain gave up and died.
In a few months Gustav will be forgotten. Katrina will live on for generations.
qui tacet consentire
Seconded.
I don't think attitudes towards FEMA are really going to affect the next hurricane, least of all a sense that, because FEMA didn't screw anything up this time, people will grow complacent. Far from it. For one thing, their atrocious performance during Katrina is too deeply burned on people's brains. For another, it's overwhelmed by the specter of Katrina itself, and ain't hardly no one willing to go through that again.
Most people associate FEMA with post-storm action, so I don't think it has a great effect on whether people treat hurricanes with complacency or not.
But I'm not sure Katrina will live for generations, either: people grow complacent really quickly. Camille was a tragedy. Betsy was a tragedy. Katrina was a much worse tragedy, but remember that most K casualties were the elderly who'd been through Camille and/or Betsy.
Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce
I agree with you both, but...
...isn't there something to be said about the fact that government works best from the closest point out.
I think FEMA failed miserably, but whats been lost in all the Katrina mess was the failure of the city, county, and state governments to ensure the people's safety in their jurisdictions.
The mayor knew, the Parrish supervisors knew, and the governor knew - that the levies were not adequate, and they never did anything about them, they were responsible for the pumps that didn't work, yet they did nothing to insure their functionality, until Katrina hit the fan that is, then all of a sudden it became solely the Feds problem!
Not the Feds problem, as we've seen with this storm, when the local governments dialed in and ready to go, it makes the Feds role much easier!
"A society that puts equality before freedom will have neither. A society that puts freedom before equality will get a high degree of both." ~ Milton Friedman
The levees
were built by and financed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
You can trash local officials all you like for their actions during the crisis, but the design and construction of the levees was a failure that stretched across federal administrations -- Republican and Democratic -- going back decades.
It was a failure of the Corps, but also of Republican presidents and congressmen as well as Democratic presidents and congressmen.
Basically, it takes a catastrophe to spur people to action. Galveston got an effective seawall to protect itself from hurricanes only after the city was destroyed by one 100 years ago.
I fault Bush less for his actions pre-Katrina than for his unforgiveable actions after Katrina. He should have used Katrina to push through legislation fixing the problem for once and for all. But he has the attention span of a 3-year-old.
qui tacet consentire
I'm not "trashing" anyone...
I'm stating a fact. The local municipalities failed completely in advancing any emergency plan whatsoever.
Yes the levees were built in the 1960's, to state of the art specifications for the time.
So, I am simply stating the people closest to the problem, the one's charged with ensuring the safety of the residents of N.O., a city below sea level, where everyone knew it was just a matter of time till the area would be hit with a storm of this magnitude, did nothing to address the problem, had an ineffective emergency plan, and in my opinion were as, if not more culpable for the sad aftermath of Katrina.
"A society that puts equality before freedom will have neither. A society that puts freedom before equality will get a high degree of both." ~ Milton Friedman
Of course you are trashing them
You said that local officials knew everything was inadequate and they did nothing.
That's called trashing where I come from.
qui tacet consentire
I was presenting a chasm in the reporting... ;-)
If I wanted to trash them, it would not be hard mind you, but here I am not making that case.
So cool your jets.
"A society that puts equality before freedom will have neither. A society that puts freedom before equality will get a high degree of both." ~ Milton Friedman
Well, I'm not sure how much you know
about this particular issue, but levee funding comes from the federal government, and levee maintenance is primarily the duty of the Army Corps of Engineers. The state and local governments have Levee Boards for smoothing the work between federal and local outlets, but ultimately there's no parish in Louisiana that builds and maintains its own levees.
There's a good reason for that: the federal government has an interest in a functional river system, and has to keep the whole system in mind when making decisions.
Unfortunately, by the 80s it was very clear that the levee system had a fatal flaw: by preventing controlled flooding, the river was not depositing silts in nearby wetlands, which were rapidly disappearing. The Corps kept trying to raise the levees, which was only making the problem worse. After they were stopped by the Sierra Club, the Corps sat down with the local govs and the environmentalists (who, despite hand-wringing over their crazy leftist ways, have been proven exactly right about the need for a strong wetland barrier), and hammered out a plan for rethinking the levee systems. That plan was never adequately funded - neither by the Clinton nor Bush administrations.
Some well-meaning but completely clueless pundits who don't understand how levees work* tried to turn this into
an indictment of environmentalists (If they'd only stayed out of it, the Corps would have built levees by now!) Unfortunately, levee failure was NOT the cause of the worst damage to New Orleans. That would be MRGO, a Corps project vehemently opposed by environmentalists that is now being shut down. Because guess what? The environmentalists were right that MRGO would be disastrous come hurricane season. And now the Corps understands that.
(* - case in point, Berlau is aghast that environmentalists want to "lower or remove levees" instead of build them higher. If Berlau understood what he was reading, he'd know that lowering or removing levees for controlled flooding in non-residential areas is absolutely vital for long-term protection in the region, since wetlands provide a more effective barrier than levees by sucking up storm surge. He's like that clueless CNN reporter who freaked out during Gustav that the levees had burst: well-meaning, but completely out of his element.)
Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce
Agreed
I guess it just was one of those things that just was under the radar for everyone?
But, I can see a bureaucrat in DC putting it on the back burner, it is unforgivable on the part of those who were driving by it everyday and knew the problems existed and did nothing.
And beyond that, just the lack of any emergency planning on the part of the city! Of course the Mayor is a complete fool, that much is obvious.
"A society that puts equality before freedom will have neither. A society that puts freedom before equality will get a high degree of both." ~ Milton Friedman
People never learn
They keep rebuilding these silly frame houses even though it's next to impossible to make them hurricane proof.
Sic semper tyrannis